Transformation Quarterly 02_2025

John Rowland ist Senior Partner von H/Advisors Cicero. Wir haben ihm drei Fragen zu den Herausforderungen für Unternehmen angesichts der weltpolitischen Lage gestellt und ihn um eine Einschätzung aus UK-Sicht gebeten. Hier sind seine Antworten (auf Englisch):

What are the biggest challenges facing companies in the UK due to the current political disruptions? 

We have a relatively new Labour Government with a big majority, which could be in office until Summer 2029. So, on the surface, UK domestic politics looks pretty stable. However, the Government's failure to ignite economic growth is compounded by substantial geopolitical headwinds. The looming threat of tariffs from the Trump administration and broader global uncertainties are driving anxiety around trade, investment, and supply chain resilience.  

What do businesses need to do to regain greater planning security? What role can the business sector play in restoring greater planning security to the system? 

We surveyed senior business executives globally last year and some of the interviews highlighted how developments like Trump's first election win, Covid and the Ukraine war had led to a new understanding of the impact of political risk on firms who hadn't really thought about it very much before. At the moment, politics is very clearly driving markets, so to be able to plan effectively you have to take politics and policy seriously. By that I mean making sure that political risk is properly considered in your risk register and resilience planning as well as your policy advocacy.   

What are your top 3 recommendations for companies to establish sustainable and trustworthy communication with policymakers, the public, and other businesses, fostering long-term resilience? 

1. Be thoughtful: The political landscape is fizzing with debates about DEI, ESG and economic justice. It is worth thinking carefully about what your message is on and why. 

2. Plan: You can't always control or predict what will happen next, but you can construct different scenarios and stress test your business plans against them. For example, during Brexit negotiations we helped clients assess the probability of various outcomes, including a 'No Deal'. This meant they had considered in advance when they might have to trigger costly contingency plans. 

3. Stay focused: Try to keep sight of what really is important to your business, its people and customers. You can't be across everything, and nor should you be.   

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